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Archiver > DNA-R1B1C7 > 2012-01 > 1325869295


From: Bernard Morgan <>
Subject: Re: [R-M222] analysis
Date: Fri, 6 Jan 2012 17:01:35 +0000
References: <5ab7.327af185.3c365f07@aol.com>, ,<SNT128-W6485989739F5F4A04CE66EBB940@phx.gbl>, ,<000001cccb7f$007a4540$016ecfc0$@com>,<SNT128-W65685B15B0EECB820BB181BB940@phx.gbl>,<000001cccc72$601b4640$2051d2c0$@com>
In-Reply-To: <000001cccc72$601b4640$2051d2c0$@com>


> ln(257/89)/.022 = 48.2
> ln(257/18)/.046 = 57.8
>
> and concludes that the two answers are within his error margin, so he's
> happy to proceed.
>
> Exactly what this has to do with a Poisson distribution is a mystery to me,

Have you read his other paper "DNA Genealogy, Mutation Rate, and Some Historical Evidence Written in the Y-Chromosome: I. Basic Principles and the Method'?
http://www.jogg.info/52/files/Klyosov1.pdf

He refers to a logarithmic approach where transition of the base haplotypes into mutated ones is described by first-order kinetics ln(B/A)=kt, which is a Poisson distribution.



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